August 2012 Stock Market Predictions

I was 3-for-4 with my July stock market predictions, correctly guessing analyzing that US large caps (VFINX) and developed international equities (VDMIX) would advance and that US small caps (NAESX) would decline, but closely missing the decline prediction for emerging equities (VEIEX). I'm now 12-for-20 on the year with my monthly stock market predictions.

For the coming month I will jump on "the trend is your friend" bandwagon and predict similar market action in August with decline in US small caps, and advances in US large caps, as well as developed and emerging international equities.

If you're interested in my past predictions and an explanation of why I am going through this pointless exercise, check out my past prediction posts which started with March 2012:

http://www.longtermreturns.com/2012/03/march-2012-stock-market-predictions.html
http://www.longtermreturns.com/2012/03/march-2012-stock-market-predictions_31.html
http://www.longtermreturns.com/2012/03/april-2012-stock-market-predictions.html
http://www.longtermreturns.com/2012/05/may-2012-stock-market-predictions.html
http://www.longtermreturns.com/2012/05/june-2012-stock-market-predictions.html
http://www.longtermreturns.com/2012/06/july-2012-stock-market-predictions.html