Reader Question
Hi LTR, I love the blog! It's extremely well written, and makes things about Wall Street much simpler to understand for the average investor. Thanks for doing it. I'm a 30-something, relatively new investor, and I hold the following Admiral shares in a taxable brokerage account at Vanguard: 45% VTSAX, 30% VTIAX and 25% VBTLX; aka your "risk taker" portfolio choice. Total of about $65k in this account, with another large contribution between $20-40k coming later this year/early next year. After a few months into it, I am looking at the tax ramifications of holding VBTLX in this taxable account, and I wanted to get your specific opinion of exchanging this fund for the Vanguard High-Yield Tax Exempt Municipal Bond fund (VWAHX). I do recall your sage advice of making the decision and then sticking with it, but it seems like the taxes on VBTLX will eventually eat my returns up. Unfortunately, I do not (right now, at least) have the requisite $50,000 needed for the Admiral shares version (VWALX) though I probably will be able to do the Admiral upgrade later this year or early next year. Should I make this exchange? Should I keep some % of my portfolio in VBTLX, or just go ahead and exchange all of it? I would like to hear your thoughts on this. Keep up the good work!
My Reply
Thanks for writing. I really appreciate the feedback letting me know that my blog is useful -- it's the best motivation for me to keep it going.
Your plan to exchange VBTLX in taxable account for a municipal bond fund is a very good one. The only reason I don't mention this idea every time I write VBMFX/VBTLX is because I don't want to be overly repetitive (almost every post in this blog is a rehash of the same themes already) and to be a bit more concise. But I hope I mentioned it often enough because it is absolutely the way to go. As I recently wrote in another post, even if you have VBMFX/VBTLX in a tax-advantaged account, it could still make sense to swap it for a municipal bond fund in taxable account and use the tax-advantaged account for equities. In your case, with VBMFX/VBTLX is in taxable space to begin with, you should absolutely swap it for a muni fund.
The only question is which muni fund to select. Although Vanguard's idea of "high-yield" muni fund still has quite high credit quality, it would be a noticeable downgrade from VBMFX/VBTLX. It's not necessarily a problem, but when the next crisis hits it is likely that Vanguard's High-Yield muni fund dips along with equities and other "risky" investments while VBMFX/VBTLX will maintain its value or even rise slightly as a "safe haven". I don't think it's a major consideration, but some people are very averse to even the smallest drops in their fixed income holdings. They may also want to have more of a chance to rebalance from appreciated bonds to beat-up equities in a crisis. If this concerns you, you may want to use Vanguard's higher credit quality muni fund VWLTX/VWLUX which is more likely to hold its value in a crisis in exchange for slightly lower yield. That lower yield is still higher than VBMFX/VBTLX -- even before taxes are considered!
If you are not already doing it you should consider maxing out your annual allowance of I Savings Bonds ($10,000 per year per Social Security number) through TreasuryDirect.gov. I Savings Bonds combine the safety of US federal government's backing, high liquidity and perfect safety from rising interest rates (can be redeemed after a year for face value with only a small penalty), deferred taxation, and yield that is almost certain to beat VBMFX/VBTLX and has a chance to beat muni funds as well. The I-Bonds are almost certainly the best "deal" going in fixed income space today, so I would max them out before looking into any other fixed income investments.
Finally, and again if you are not doing it already, make sure you also max out tax-advantaged accounts -- 401k, Roth IRA, Traditional IRA -- before investing in taxable.
I am near retirement and have about 50% of my portfolio in a combination of VTSAX and VTIAX and the remainder in CDs and online savings. Should I switch a significant portion of the CDs/savings into VWLUX at this point or would I be better off waiting for interest rates to rise before making the switch? (BTW, thanks much for your thoughtful and detailed answers to questions!)
ReplyDeleteThis one is fairly close and really comes down to the rate you are earning on your CDs post-tax and how risk-averse you are. CDs are definitely safer and are worth slightly lower return -- how much lower depends on your own preferences and goals. If you already have plenty to guarantee a comfortable retirement, then there is no reason to take chances on higher yield when CDs are good enough. Assuming this is not the case, and every additional dollar will make a difference, then I would still go with CDs if you are able to get close to 2% APY before taxes from your CDs (possible through PenFed, for example), and your CDs have the option to break early (in case interest rates spike), and you are in 15% or even 25% tax bracket, then I would probably stick with CDs for extra safety.
DeleteIf you are in 35+% tax bracket, then I would probably go with VWLUX, since now we'd be talking about 1+% difference in yield per year. If you are in lower bracket but your CDs are much lower than 2%, then I would look into upgrading them to higher APY through PenFed.
I wrote a post about what goes into this type of decision -- http://www.longtermreturns.com/2013/01/optimizing-investment-portfolio-with-municipal-bonds.html -- which you may find interesting.
Overall, CDs and munis are both better deals than alternatives as things stand today and I wouldn't stress too much about choosing one over the other.